Disease and demographic development: the legacy of the plague

Siuda, Fabian and Sunde, Uwe (2021) Disease and demographic development: the legacy of the plague. Journal of Economic Growth, 26 (1). pp. 1-30. ISSN 1573-7020

Available under License Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).

Download (2MB) | Preview


This paper provides an empirical investigation of the hypothesis that population shocks such as the repeated outbreaks of the plague affected the timing of the demographic transition. The empirical analysis uses disaggregate data from Germany and exploits geographic variation in the exposure to medieval plague shocks. The findings document that areas with greater exposure to plague outbreaks exhibited an earlier onset of the demographic transition. The results are consistent with the predictions of the unified growth literature and provide novel insights into the largely unexplored empirical determinants of the timing of the transition from stagnation to growth.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL.
Keywords: Plague, Demographic transition, Fertility, Outbreak, Epidemics
Classification Codes: JEL: O10, J10
Divisions: Departments > Volkswirtschaft > Makroökonomie
Version of the Document: Published
Depositing User: Gertraud Novotny
Date Deposited: 16 Mar 2021 15:11
Last Modified: 16 Mar 2021 15:11
Related URLs:
FIDES Link: https://bach.wu.ac.at/d/research/results/99007/
URI: https://epub.wu.ac.at/id/eprint/8045


View Item View Item


Downloads per month over past year

View more statistics