Pfaff, Katharina Gabriela (2020) Assessing the risk of pre-existing grievances in non-democracies: The conditional effect of natural disasters on repression. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 42. p. 101337. ISSN 2212-4209
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Abstract
Every disaster carries the risk of destruction but not every disaster prompts violent political process in a country. This article examines the popular argument that natural disasters can lead to higher state violence if resulting shocks caused by a disaster add to pre-existing grievances. If economic inequality or political instability is prevalent before a disaster occurs, disasters are expected to exacerbate the perceived threat to government's survival in office. Consequently, repression is expected to be higher in the aftermath of a disaster. I test the existence of the expected conditional effect of pre-disaster stability and disasters using cross-national data on natural rapid-onset disasters in non-democracies between 1976 and 2013. As indicators for pre-existing grievances this article focuses on ex ante economic inequality and political dissent. While a natural disaster as such is not associated with a violation of human rights, empirical evidence suggests that the probability of an increase in post-disaster repression is higher when a country has previously experienced grievances.
Item Type: | Article |
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Divisions: | Departments > Sozioökonomie > Soziologie u Empirische Sozialforschung |
Version of the Document: | Published |
Variance from Published Version: | None |
Depositing User: | Katharina Gabriela Pfaff |
Date Deposited: | 26 Sep 2019 13:35 |
Last Modified: | 08 Sep 2020 09:26 |
Related URLs: | |
FIDES Link: | https://bach.wu.ac.at/d/research/results/92140/ |
URI: | https://epub.wu.ac.at/id/eprint/7189 |
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