Future trends in the prevalence of severe activity limitations among older adults in Europe: a cross-national population study using EU-SILC

Scherbov, Sergei and Weber, Daniela (2017) Future trends in the prevalence of severe activity limitations among older adults in Europe: a cross-national population study using EU-SILC. BMJ Open, 7 (9). pp. 1-8. ISSN 2044-6055

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Abstract

Objective: To project the proportion of population 65+ years with severe long-term activity limitations from 2017 to 2047. Design: Large population study. Setting: Population living in private households of the European Union (EU) and neighbouring countries. Participants: Participants from the EU Statistics on Income and Living Conditions aged 55 years and older and living in one of 26 EU and neighbouring countries, who answered the health section of the questionnaire. Outcome: measures Prevalence of severe long-term activity limitations of particular subpopulations (ie, 55+, 65+, 75+ and 85+ years) by sex and country. Results: We find a huge variation in the prevalence of self-reported severe long-term limitations across Europe for both sexes. However, in 2017, about 20% of the female population aged 65 years and above and about 16% of their male counterparts are expected to report severe long-term activity limitations after accounting for differences in reporting. Accounting for cultural differences in reporting, we expect that European countries will have about 21% (decile 1: 19.5%; decile 9: 22.9%) of female and about 16.8% (decile 1: 15.4%; decile 9: 18.1%) of male 65+ years population with severe long-term activity limitations by 2047. Conclusions: Overall, despite the expected increase of life expectancy in European countries, our results suggest almost constant shares of older adults with severe long-term activity limitations within the next 30 years.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: This work was supported by the European Research Council (Grant Number ERC2012-AdG 323947-Re-Ageing).
Divisions: Departments > Sozioökonomie > Sozialpolitik > Health Economics and Policy
Version of the Document: Published
Depositing User: Gertraud Novotny
Date Deposited: 03 Nov 2017 09:13
Last Modified: 20 Dec 2017 23:38
Related URLs:
FIDES Link: https://bach.wu.ac.at/d/research/results/83070/
URI: https://epub.wu.ac.at/id/eprint/5841

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