A Microanalytical Simulation Model to Predict the Long-Term Evolution of Employment Biographies in Austria: The Demographics Module

Wurzer, Marcus and Hatzinger, Reinhold (2009) A Microanalytical Simulation Model to Predict the Long-Term Evolution of Employment Biographies in Austria: The Demographics Module. Austrian Journal of Statistics, 38 (4). pp. 241-254. ISSN 1026-597X

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Abstract

The well-known problems of decreasing birth rates and population ageing represent a major challenge for the Austrian pension system. It is expected that the group of pensioners will grow steadily in the future, while the proportion of people that support them - the taxpayers - will shrink. In this regard, microsimulation provides a valuable tool to identify the impact of various policy measures. With microsimulation, it is not only possible to predict cross-sectional data (e.g., the distribution of age groups in 2050), but also to simulate lifecourses of people, providing longitudinal outcomes. The demographics module is the first in a series of modules that are part of a microsimulation prototype. This prototype is being developed in order to predict the long-term evolution of Employment Biographies in Austria.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Microsimulation, Demography, Employment Biographies, Pension System, Population Ageing.
Divisions: Departments > Finance, Accounting and Statistics
Version of the Document: Published
Depositing User: ePub Administrator
Date Deposited: 10 Jul 2017 14:07
Last Modified: 05 May 2018 01:41
Related URLs:
FIDES Link: https://bach.wu.ac.at/d/research/results/71559/
URI: https://epub.wu.ac.at/id/eprint/5633

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