Empirical evidence on growth and business cycles

Zagler, Martin ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0863-7375 (2017) Empirical evidence on growth and business cycles. Empirica, 44 (3). pp. 547-566. ISSN 0340-8744

Available under License Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).

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This paper empirically investigates the relationship between long-run economic growth and output volatility for the time series experience of 25 OECD countries between the years 1960 and 2013. Given the low number of observations, we reject, based on Monte Carlo simulations, the obvious choice of Garch estimation, and instead propose a pooled OLS estimator between a filtered GDP series that eliminates the cyclicality and the fluctuations around this trend. We find strong empirical evidence for a positive relationship between output variability and economic growth. This relationship seems to confirm theoretical literature which proposes such a positive relation.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com.
Keywords: Growth / Volatility / Cycles
Classification Codes: JEL E32, O47
Divisions: Departments > Sozioökonomie
Version of the Document: Published
Variance from Published Version: None
Depositing User: ePub Administrator
Date Deposited: 25 Apr 2016 12:58
Last Modified: 01 Aug 2020 19:06
Related URLs:
FIDES Link: https://bach.wu.ac.at/d/research/results/77400/
URI: https://epub.wu.ac.at/id/eprint/4962


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