The Size of the Government and Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of Sri Lanka

Herath, Shanaka (2010) The Size of the Government and Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of Sri Lanka. SRE - Discussion Papers, 2010/05. WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna.

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The new growth theory establishes, among other things, that government expenditure can manipulate economic growth of a country. This study attempts to explain whether government expenditure increases or decreases economic growth in the context of Sri Lanka. Results obtained applying an analytical framework based on time series and second degree polynomial regressions are generally consistent with previous findings: government expenditure and economic growth are positively correlated; excessive government expenditure is negatively correlated with economic growth; and an open economy promotes growth. In a separate section, the paper examines Armey's (1995) idea of a quadratic curve that explains the level of government expenditure in an economy and the corresponding level of economic growth. The findings confirm the possibility of constructing the Armey curve for Sri Lanka, and it estimates the optimal level of government expenditure to be approximately 27 per cent. This paper adds to the literature indicating that the Armey curve is a reality not only for developed economies, but also for developing economies.(author's abstract)

Item Type: Paper
Keywords: government expenditure / economic growth / time series regression / polynomial regression / Armey curve / öffentliche Ausgaben / öffentlicher Sektor / Wirtschaftswachstum
Classification Codes: RVK QL 300, QC 340 ; JEL C32, F43, H50
Divisions: Departments > Sozioökonomie > Multi-Level Governance and Development
Version of the Document: Published
Depositing User: Gertraud Novotny
Date Deposited: 12 Jan 2011 14:11
Last Modified: 22 Oct 2019 00:40

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