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Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050

KC, Samir and Barakat, Bilal and Goujon, Anne and Skirbekk, Vegard and Sanderson, Warren and Lutz, Wolfgang (2010) Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050. Demographic Research, 22 (15). pp. 383-472. ISSN 1435-9871

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Abstract

Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of educational attainment for the years 2005-2050. Taking into account differentials in fertility and mortality by education level, we present the first systematic global educational attainment projections according to four widely differing education scenarios. The results show the possible range of future educational attainment trends around the world, thereby contributing to long-term economic and social planning at the national and international levels, and to the assessment of the feasibility of international education goals. (authors' abstract)

Item Type: Article
Keywords: differential fertility, differential of mortality, education / education goals / education policies / education scenarios / educational attainment / human capital / multi-state methods / projections
Divisions: Departments > Finance, Accounting and Statistics > Statistics and Mathematics
Departments > Sozioökonomie > Sozialpolitik > Demographie
Version of the Document: Published
Variance from Published Version: None
Depositing User: Elena Simukovic
Date Deposited: 14 Apr 2016 14:37
Last Modified: 13 Jul 2017 07:39
Related URLs:
FIDES Link: https://bach.wu.ac.at/d/research/results/53943/
URI: http://epub.wu.ac.at/id/eprint/4988

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