Business Cycle Synchronization During US Recessions Since the
Beginning of the 1870's.
Department of Economics Working Paper Series, 140.
WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna.
This paper examines the synchronization of business cycles across the G7 countries during
US recessions since the 1870's. Using a dynamic measure of business cycle synchronization,
results depend on the globalisation period under consideration. On average, US recessions
have significantly positive effects on business cycle co-movements only in the period following
the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates, while strongly decoupling effects among the G7 economies are documented during recessions that occurred under
the classical Gold Standard. During the 2007-2009 recession, business cycles co-movements
increased to unprecedented levels. (author's abstract)
||dynamic conditional correlation / business cycle synchronization / recession / globalisation / G-7 Staaten / Konjunkturzyklus / Synchronisierung / Rezession / Transmissionsmechanismus / Globalisierung / Geschichte 1870 - 2011
||RVK QG 010 ; JEL E3, E32, F4, F41, N10
||Departments > Volkswirtschaft
||25 Apr 2012 16:37
||19 Dec 2014 12:06
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